Revival is order of day; be it
economy, be it politics, be it cricket, be it society. As we enter second half
of the second month of year 2013, which had a bad start in addition to legacy
of 2012 which was year of failures.
Somehow many will agree that speed of time flow is incredibly fast in
2013 though it may sound as cliché or for that matter anomalous as wheel of
time moves it same speed since the big bang.
But having seen almost 45 days of New Year, seems like 2013 has
different properties.
Government seems to be acting
especially against sending strong message to enemies of India irrespective of
what lefts, seculars and anti nationals say against Afzal Guru hanging. Noises
for Modi as PM have already made an impact so that govt had to take cognisance
of it and act. If Modi outside power can create such an impact, what will
happen if really he is give n charge in 2014? That for me sounds remote as
Indian voters don’t vote by emotions, logic, ideology or development, they vote
based on established equations, patterns, cash and demographic vote banks. And
Indian media and elites have some agenda to derail Modi and his politics of
development. But media is scared and that can be seen in endless debates on
secularism and under mining of Modi. The British mindset of ruler and elites in
India has not changes even after 60 years of freedom. Our Independence struggle
has replaced British with new elite class which has ruled politics, media,
society and business. Though after liberalization business in India has been
relatively set free and they can have role to play based on what suites them.
Government has taken note of public outcry and seems to heed for social media
opinions and thus seems to have some decisive plan to defend its urban educated
vote base. More interesting will be budget when populist and vote bank schemes
which were highlight of UPA 2 will get financial support or will they be
diluted on backdrop of reforms. That will clearly be the signal even as step to
have Rahul Gandhi projected at PM carries no immediate political gains. Not
that all will be revived if Modi is at power. It has to be seen if he can
master coalition politics and yet push forth his development card. And here i
do not wish to repeat that secular, corrupt and damaging political/elite systems
which ruled for last 55 out of 60 odd years will make it impossible for someone
well meaning, corruption free like Modi to act in benefit of India.
That brings forth development and
economic growth which needs revival. Here 2013 will have to play a major role
in defining 2014 and beyond. World economy seems better than 2012 especially US
showing signs of recovery. European crisis still looms but some mitigating steps
have been taken. Indian 2012 was poor with reduced growth, high inflation, BOP
crisis, bad governance, corruption, famine all colluding to have gloomy impact
on economy. Govt seems to be irrationally bent upon collecting taxes to narrow
deficit sometimes illogically driving away investors. Govt also vacillates on
key policies. Thus budget of 2013 will define the direction. Thankfully
guidance for IT companies is bullish and we can see better job market further
boosting the spending in real estate, consumer markets and auto. Thus we should
look forward to PC to take steps to revive economy.
Will Narendra Modi and his
development politics as an answer to a better 2014 and beyond....... Only time
will tell but his chances are very slim for now. But you never know.
Same is for society. 2013 started
on bad note for safety of women. Though
some laws have been straightened but much more need to be done. Issues like
female infanticide, khaps, inequality still remain challenge for society. Thus
society needs revival
State govt of Maharashtra is busy
exploiting draught. Draught relief is proven industry for some. Energy crisis
looms and no steps seem to be taken anywhere. Blame the coalition. Opposition
is divided now with MNS declining to join any one. Thus this government is
safe. So revival in 2014 seems distant.
Education system needs revival as
IITs are abused. Govt is playing with students on exams, RTE and some evaluation
dictats. Need experts to manage rather than politicos.
Civil society movements need
revival and need to align with opposition to make an impact. Somehow hopes with
likes of Arvind Kejariwal, MNS seems dying down as individual ego based
politics lacks mass appeal.
Pune city needs revival on
infrastructure and environment but people at helm are real estate tycoons and
anti social elements so chances to develop city and remove corruption remain
remote
Finally Indian cricket needs revival
after nadir of series loss to England at home. Australia seems lesser challenge
than England who had good pace and spin attack along with experience batting.
Aussies batting apart from Clarke and
Watson seem inexperienced, also with lack of spinning option could hurt them
but Indians should be beware of their young pace attack. But have Indian
selectors taken look at larger picture that is future? Starting with captaincy
where they don’t seem to have alternative despite Dhonis’ failing as test captain
and batsman. So at least they should
groom someone for future by naming him VC; only candidate being Virat Kohli who
is only certainty in playing eleven apart from Dhoni and Sachin till he retire.
Sachin should be asked about his future clearly up to what time he can play and
plans should be to use his experience. Some tough calls are necessary. Young guns like Rahane, Dhawan, Tiwary should
be given chances to cement their places like Kohli and pujara. So that leaves Sehwag . But Sehwag was needed
against aussies. It will be his last chance like sachin. On bowling getting
back to Harbhajan was tactical for aussies and i feel he should be played ahead
of ashwin. Fast bowling is strengthened by bhuvanesh. So once varun and yadav
get fit we may have better picture for future. Let’s hope there is revival
there
So during this romantic period of
year , lets hope that we see revival.......
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